energyЭнергетика. Известия высших учебных заведений и энергетических объединений СНГENERGETIKA. Proceedings of CIS higher education institutions and power engineering associations1029-74482414-0341BNTU10.21122/1029-7448-2020-63-1-14-29energy-1910Research ArticleОБЩАЯ ЭНЕРГЕТИКАGENERAL POWER ENGINEERINGОбеспечение устойчивого развития энергетических систем: переход от стоимости к ценностиMaintaining the Sustainable Energy Systems: Turning from Cost to ValueПисьменнаяУ. Е.PysmennaU. Yе.

Адрес для переписки: Письменная Ульяна Евгеньевна Институт экономики и прогнозирования НАН Украины, ул. Панаса Мирного, 26, 01011, г. Киев, Украина, Тел.: +380 97 109-13-02,   uliamyxa@gmail.com

 

Address for correspondence: Pysmenna Uliana Yе. – Institute for Economics and Forecasting, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, 26 Panasa Myrnoho str., 01011, Kyiv, Ukraine. Tel.: +380 97 109-13-02,    uliamyxa@gmail.com

uliamyxa@gmail.comТрипольскаяГ. С.TrypolskaG. S.Институт экономики и прогнозирования НАН Украины; Национальный технический университет Украины «Киевский политехнический институт имени Игоря Сикорского»УкраинаInstitute for Economics and Forecasting, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine; National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”UkraineИнститут экономики и прогнозирования НАН УкраиныУкраинаInstitute for Economics and Forecasting, National Academy of Sciences of UkraineUkraine2020070220206311429Copyright © Письменная У.Е., Трипольская Г.С., 20202020Письменная У.Е., Трипольская Г.С.Pysmenna U.Y., Trypolska G.S.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://energy.bntu.by/jour/article/view/1910

Экономики мира находятся под влиянием быстроменяющейся повестки дня глобальной энергетической политики. Понимание последствий энергетических тенденций в долгосрочной перспективе имеет решающее значение для принятия ответственных и обоснованных решений по вопросам устойчивости в отношении преобразований, необходимых для повышения надежности энергоснабжения, эффективности использования ресурсов и их доступности, а также для нивелирования энергетической бедности и уменьшения негативного воздействия на окружающую среду. В настоящее время ценовая (стоимостная) конкурентоспособность технологий и продуктов в качестве их способности отвечать требованиям устойчивости становится весомым критерием при выборе путей технологического роста или разработки экономических стратегий. Переход к энергетической устойчивости – это так называемая «тихая» энергетическая [р]еволюция или переход к 100%-му возобновляемому энергоснабжению. Используя теории социально-технических трансформаций, уязвимости при оценке уровня энергетической безопасности, а также теорию устойчивого развития, данная статья призвана содействовать пониманию культурных, институциональных и инновационных предпосылок перехода к устойчивой энергии. Основываясь на исторических примерах, мы утверждаем, что, несмотря на культурные аспекты, неравенство в энергетических ресурсах и структуре энергопотребления, географическом положении и размере дохода на душу населения, ценностная, а не стоимостная философия при выборе путей энергетической политики обеспечивает устойчивые энергетические трансформации. Ключевыми результатами является определение предпосылок устойчивости энергетических трансформаций, среди которых: культурные аспекты, инновации и скорость движения по кривым обучения при внедрении новых энергетических технологий, а также шаблоны энергетической политики, применяемые в стране, ценностные против стоимостных. Матрица энергетической политики «ценность против стоимости» разработана с целью определения степени ценностной ориентации энергетической политики той или иной страны.

The economies of the world are influenced by the rapidly changing global energy policy agenda. Understanding energy trends implications in the long-term perspective is crucial for responsible and informed sustainability-policy making, with respect to transformations required to enhance the security of energy supply, resource efficiency and affordability, as well to as transformations required to minimize energy poverty and mitigate ecological footprint. Nowadays the price (value) competitiveness of technologies and products as their ability to respond to sustainability demands is becoming the appreciable criterion in choosing the pathways of technological growth or economic strategies designing. The transition to energy sustainability is the so-called quiet energy [r]evolution, or the transition towards 100 % renewable energy supply. Using the sociotechnical transition, vulnerability and sustainable development theories for the assessment of the energy safety level, this article aims to contribute to the understanding of cultural, institutional and innovation prerequisites of sustainable energy transitions. Basing on historical examples, it argues that, despite the cultural dimensions, energy resources and energy mix disparity, geographic location and income per capita, the value instead of cost philosophy in choosing energy pathways maintains the sustainable energy transitions. The key findings are the defined prerequisites of energy transitions sustainability; among them there are cultural dimensions, innovations and the speeds of movement along learning curves when adopting new energy technologies as well as energy policy patterns, applied in a country: value versus cost-driven. The Value vs Cost Energy Policy matrix has been developed in order to determine if a country is sufficiently value-driven in its energy policy.

энергетическая системаэнергетическая трансформацияэнергетическая устойчивостьценностная конкурентоспособностьценностно-ориентированная политикаконкурентоспособностьоснованная на стоимостиполитикаоснованная на стоимостиenergy systemenergy transitionenergy sustainabilityvalue competitivenessvaluedriven policycost-based competitivenesscost-driven policyReferencesKilievich O. (1999). State Policy Analysis: Microeconomic View. Part1. Modern Economic Theory and State Finances. Kyiv, National Academy for Public Administration under the President of Ukraine. (in Ukrainian).Kilievich O. (1999). State Policy Analysis: Microeconomic View. Part1. Modern Economic Theory and State Finances. Kyiv, National Academy for Public Administration under the President of Ukraine. (in Ukrainian).Cherp A., Jewell J. (2014). The Concept of Energy Security: Beyond the Four As. Energy Poicy, 75, 415-421. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.09.005Cherp A., Jewell J. (2014). The Concept of Energy Security: Beyond the Four As. Energy Poicy, 75, 415-421. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.09.005IEA/OECD (2012). World Energy Outlook 2012: Executive Summary. Available: https://ru.scribd.com/document/124814693/IEA-World-Energy-Outlook-2012 (accessed 12 February 2019).IEA/OECD (2012). World Energy Outlook 2012: Executive Summary. Available: https://ru.scribd.com/document/124814693/IEA-World-Energy-Outlook-2012 (accessed 12 February 2019).Potapenko V., Podolets R., Mukhin V. (2013). Organizational and Economic Mechanisms of Balance of Interests in the Energy Sector of Ukraine. Efektivna ekonomіka [Efficient Economics], (11). Available at: http://www.economy.nayka.com.ua/?op=1&z=2451. (accessed 30 December 2019) (in Ukrainian).Potapenko V., Podolets R., Mukhin V. (2013). Organizational and Economic Mechanisms of Balance of Interests in the Energy Sector of Ukraine. Efektivna ekonomіka [Efficient Economics], (11). Available at: http://www.economy.nayka.com.ua/?op=1&z=2451. (accessed 30 December 2019) (in Ukrainian).Geels F., Schot J. (2007). Typology of Sociotechnical Transition Pathways. Research Policy, 36 (3), 399–417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2007.01.003Geels F., Schot J. (2007). Typology of Sociotechnical Transition Pathways. Research Policy, 36 (3), 399–417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2007.01.003Cherp A., Vinichenko V., Jewell J., Suzuki M., Antal M. (2017). Comparing Electricity Transitions: a Historical Analysis of Nuclear, Wind and Solar Power in Germany and Japan. Energy Policy, 101, p. 612–628. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2016.10.044Cherp A., Vinichenko V., Jewell J., Suzuki M., Antal M. (2017). Comparing Electricity Transitions: a Historical Analysis of Nuclear, Wind and Solar Power in Germany and Japan. Energy Policy, 101, p. 612–628. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2016.10.044Coenen L., Benneworth P., Truffer B. (2012). Toward a Spatial Perspective on Sustainability Transitions. Research Policy, 41 (6), 968–979. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2012.02.014Coenen L., Benneworth P., Truffer B. (2012). Toward a Spatial Perspective on Sustainability Transitions. Research Policy, 41 (6), 968–979. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2012.02.014Hauff A., Bode D., Neumann F., Haslauer F. (2014). Global Energy Transitions. A Comparative Analysis of Key Countries and Implications for the International Energy Debate. Berlin, Weltenergierat – Deutschland. 30 pp.Hauff A., Bode D., Neumann F., Haslauer F. (2014). Global Energy Transitions. A Comparative Analysis of Key Countries and Implications for the International Energy Debate. Berlin, Weltenergierat – Deutschland. 30 pp.International Energy Agency (2016) Next Generation Wind and Solar Power. Full Report. Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264258969-enInternational Energy Agency (2016) Next Generation Wind and Solar Power. Full Report. Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264258969-enAraujo K. (2014). The Emerging Field of Energy Transitions: Progress, Challenges, and Opportunities. Energy Research & Social Science, 1, 112–121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2014.03.002Araujo K. (2014). The Emerging Field of Energy Transitions: Progress, Challenges, and Opportunities. Energy Research & Social Science, 1, 112–121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2014.03.002Coenen, L., Diaz Lopez, F. J. (2009). Comparing Systems Approaches to Innovation and Technological Change for Sustainable and Competitive Economies: an Explorative Study into Conceptual Commonalities, Differences and Complementarities. Journal of Cleaner Production, 18, 1149–1160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2010.04.003.Coenen, L., Diaz Lopez, F. J. (2009). Comparing Systems Approaches to Innovation and Technological Change for Sustainable and Competitive Economies: an Explorative Study into Conceptual Commonalities, Differences and Complementarities. Journal of Cleaner Production, 18, 1149–1160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2010.04.003.Turnheim B., Berkhout F., Geels F., Hof A., McMeekin A., Nykvist B., van Vuuren D.P. (2015). Evaluating Sustainability Transitions Pathways: Bridging Analytical Approaches to Address Governance Challenges. Global Environmental Change, 35, 239–253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.010.Turnheim B., Berkhout F., Geels F., Hof A., McMeekin A., Nykvist B., van Vuuren D.P. (2015). Evaluating Sustainability Transitions Pathways: Bridging Analytical Approaches to Address Governance Challenges. Global Environmental Change, 35, 239–253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.010.World Energy Council (2018) Energy Sustainability Trilemma Index 2018. Available at: https://www.worldenergy.org/assets/downloads/World-Energy-Trilemma-Index-2018.pdf. (accessed 30 December 2019).World Energy Council (2018) Energy Sustainability Trilemma Index 2018. Available at: https://www.worldenergy.org/assets/downloads/World-Energy-Trilemma-Index-2018.pdf. (accessed 30 December 2019).Hofstede Insights. Country Comparison. Available at: https://www.hofstede-insights.com/country-comparison. (accessed 10 February 2019).Hofstede Insights. Country Comparison. Available at: https://www.hofstede-insights.com/country-comparison. (accessed 10 February 2019).Porter M. (1990). The Competitive Advantage of Nations. Harvard Business Review, March-April, 73-91.Porter M. (1990). The Competitive Advantage of Nations. Harvard Business Review, March-April, 73-91.Dipaola A. (2017). OPEC’s Top Producer is Turning to Wind and Solar Power. Bloomberg. Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-14/saudis-warm-to-solar-as-opec-s-top-producer-aims-to-help-exports (accessed 30 December 2019).Dipaola A. (2017). OPEC’s Top Producer is Turning to Wind and Solar Power. Bloomberg. Available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-14/saudis-warm-to-solar-as-opec-s-top-producer-aims-to-help-exports (accessed 30 December 2019).International Energy Agency (2015) Energy Policies Beyond IEA Countries: Indonesia 2015. Energy Policies Beyond IEA Countries. Paris, IEA, https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264065277-enInternational Energy Agency (2015) Energy Policies Beyond IEA Countries: Indonesia 2015. Energy Policies Beyond IEA Countries. Paris, IEA, https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264065277-enDearing A. (2000). Sustainable Innovation: Drivers and Barriers. Available at: https://www.oecd.org/innovation/inno/2105727.pdf. (accessed 30 December 2019).Dearing A. (2000). Sustainable Innovation: Drivers and Barriers. Available at: https://www.oecd.org/innovation/inno/2105727.pdf. (accessed 30 December 2019).Mulder K. F. (2007) Innovation for sustainable development: from environmental design to transition management. Sustainable Science, 2 (2), 253–263. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-007-0036-7Mulder K. F. (2007) Innovation for sustainable development: from environmental design to transition management. Sustainable Science, 2 (2), 253–263. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-007-0036-7International Energy Agency (2000) Experience Curves for Energy Technology Policy. Paris, IEA. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264182165-enInternational Energy Agency (2000) Experience Curves for Energy Technology Policy. Paris, IEA. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264182165-enInternational Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaic (ITRPV) (2017). Results 2016, Including Maturity Report. https://www.worldfutureenergysummit.com/__media/libraries/products/A493E2AF-5056-B73B-0D765674956C42F6-pdf.pdfInternational Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaic (ITRPV) (2017). Results 2016, Including Maturity Report. https://www.worldfutureenergysummit.com/__media/libraries/products/A493E2AF-5056-B73B-0D765674956C42F6-pdf.pdfMattsson N., Wene C. O. (1997). Assessing New Energy Technologies Using an Energy System Model with Endogenized Experience Curves. International Journal of Energy Research, 21 (4), 385–393. https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-114x(19970325)21:4<385::aid-er275>3.0.co;2-1Mattsson N., Wene C. O. (1997). Assessing New Energy Technologies Using an Energy System Model with Endogenized Experience Curves. International Journal of Energy Research, 21 (4), 385–393. https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-114x(19970325)21:4<385::aid-er275>3.0.co;2-1Goulder L., Mathai K. (2000). Optimal CO2 Abatement in the Presence of Induced Technological Change. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 39 (1), 1–38. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeem.1999.1089Goulder L., Mathai K. (2000). Optimal CO2 Abatement in the Presence of Induced Technological Change. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 39 (1), 1–38. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeem.1999.1089Nordhaus W. D. (2009) The Perils of the Learning Model for Modeling Endogenous Technological Change. https://doi.org/10.3386/w14638Nordhaus W. D. (2009) The Perils of the Learning Model for Modeling Endogenous Technological Change. https://doi.org/10.3386/w14638International Energy Agency (2016) Energy Technology Perspectives 2016. Towards Sustainable Urban Energy Systems: Executive Summary. https://doi.org/10.1787/energy_tech-2016-enInternational Energy Agency (2016) Energy Technology Perspectives 2016. Towards Sustainable Urban Energy Systems: Executive Summary. https://doi.org/10.1787/energy_tech-2016-enCanton J., Johannesson Linden A. (2010). Support Schemes for Renewable Electricity in the EU. Economic Papers 408. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/economic_paper/2010/pdf/ecp408_en.pdf (accessed 03 January 2020).Canton J., Johannesson Linden A. (2010). Support Schemes for Renewable Electricity in the EU. Economic Papers 408. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/economic_paper/2010/pdf/ecp408_en.pdf (accessed 03 January 2020).Kagan J. (2019). Learning Curve. Investopedia. Available at: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/learning-curve.asp#ixzz4WmWb9fM0 (accessed 10 February 2019).Kagan J. (2019). Learning Curve. Investopedia. Available at: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/learning-curve.asp#ixzz4WmWb9fM0 (accessed 10 February 2019).Greenpeace International, Global Wind Energy Council Solar Powereurope (2015) Energy [R]evolution. A Sustainable World Energy Outlook 2015. 100% renewable energy for all. Available at: https://www.duesseldorf.greenpeace.de/sites/www.duesseldorf.greenpeace.de/files/greenpeace_energy-revolution_erneuerbare_2050_20150921.pdf. (accessed 03 January 2020).Greenpeace International, Global Wind Energy Council Solar Powereurope (2015) Energy [R]evolution. A Sustainable World Energy Outlook 2015. 100% renewable energy for all. Available at: https://www.duesseldorf.greenpeace.de/sites/www.duesseldorf.greenpeace.de/files/greenpeace_energy-revolution_erneuerbare_2050_20150921.pdf. (accessed 03 January 2020).IEA/OECD (2008). Renewable Energy Essentials: Wind. Available at: https://www.iea.org/reports/renewable-energy-essentials-wind (accessed 03 January 2020).IEA/OECD (2008). Renewable Energy Essentials: Wind. Available at: https://www.iea.org/reports/renewable-energy-essentials-wind (accessed 03 January 2020).Rubin E., Azevedo I., Jaramillo P., Yeh S. (2015). A Review of Learning Rates for Electricity Supply Technologies. Energy Policy, 86, 198–218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.06.011Rubin E., Azevedo I., Jaramillo P., Yeh S. (2015). A Review of Learning Rates for Electricity Supply Technologies. Energy Policy, 86, 198–218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2015.06.011The Statistics Portal. Global Cumulative Installed Wind Power Capacity from 2001 to 2018 (in megawatts). Statista. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/268363/installed-wind-power-capacity-worldwide/ (accessed 10.02.2019).The Statistics Portal. Global Cumulative Installed Wind Power Capacity from 2001 to 2018 (in megawatts). Statista. Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/268363/installed-wind-power-capacity-worldwide/ (accessed 10.02.2019).Junginger M., Faaij A., Turkenburg W. (2005) Global Experience Curves for Wind Farms. Energy Policy, 33 (2), 133–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0301-4215(03)00205-2Junginger M., Faaij A., Turkenburg W. (2005) Global Experience Curves for Wind Farms. Energy Policy, 33 (2), 133–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0301-4215(03)00205-2Chazov E. L., Grakhov V. P., Krivorotov V. V., Simchenko O. L. (2019) Improving the Efficiency of Planning as a Basis for Management the Investment Activity of an Industrial Enterprise. Energetika. Izvestiya Vysshikh Uchebnykh Zavedenii i Energeticheskikh Ob’edinenii SNG = Energetika. Proceedings of the CIS Higher Education Institutions and Power Engineering Associations, 62 (1), 88–100. https://doi.org/10.21122/1029-7448-2019-62-1-88100 (in Russian).Chazov E. L., Grakhov V. P., Krivorotov V. V., Simchenko O. L. (2019) Improving the Efficiency of Planning as a Basis for Management the Investment Activity of an Industrial Enterprise. Energetika. Izvestiya Vysshikh Uchebnykh Zavedenii i Energeticheskikh Ob’edinenii SNG = Energetika. Proceedings of the CIS Higher Education Institutions and Power Engineering Associations, 62 (1), 88–100. https://doi.org/10.21122/1029-7448-2019-62-1-88100 (in Russian).

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.